Population ageing makes it harder for governments to finance programmes like public pensions and long-term care. But policy responses, such as tightening programme eligibility and benefit levels or raising taxes on current workers, often prove unpopular. This column presents findings from the latest wave of the OECD’s Risks that Matter survey, which takes stock of […]
As geopolitical uncertainty rises – due to events ranging from Brexit and the increasing rivalry between major economies to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – firms are increasingly factoring political alignment into their investment decisions. This column uses detailed global data on greenfield projects, mergers and acquisitions, and affiliate stocks, and four measures of political alignment, […]
Many countries are considering introducing or reforming their wealth tax policies. This column studies the effects of a French wealth tax reform, which reduced reporting requirements, on taxpayer behaviour. The scaling back of reporting requirements had large negative effects on tax compliance, with 35% of wealth taxpayers missing in affected brackets and evading 10% of […]
The EU and the US have taken starkly different approaches to the regulation of new monies issued using distributed ledger technology. The current US administration prefers dollar-backed stablecoins, with the aim to reinforce dollar dominance worldwide. This column argues that dollar-pegged stablecoins pose a risk for the EU, but the current legal framework can ensure […]
Policy debates around climate change frequently focus on the trade-off between the near-term costs of reducing carbon emissions and the long-term benefits of mitigating climate change. William Nordhaus highlighted the importance of aggregate productivity losses from climate change in shaping this intertemporal trade-off, but estimating these losses is challenging. This column examines both the direct […]
A confluence of negative forces – some the result of self-inflicted wounds and rising uncertainty about US policies and others relating to global developments and geopolitics – is encroaching on the ability of the US to continue its current funding model, bringing into question the role of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. This […]
Exchange-traded funds and open-ended mutual funds have grown rapidly, and they are increasingly expanding into illiquid asset classes such as corporate bonds. This column argues that this trend could lead to increased volatility in corporate bond markets, especially during periods of market stress. Furthermore, risks vary significantly depending on the type of investor (retail or […]
Campaign promises often capture headlines, but do they actually move votes? This column examines whether a promise to expand welfare for some mothers in Germany could swing short-term electoral support. The campaign pledge boosted the party’s vote share by over 12 percentage points among voters who stood to benefit. However, this boost vanished soon after […]
Understanding how households interpret macroeconomic policy is vital to the effectiveness of central banks. This column demonstrates that the reactions of individual households frequently contradict standard theoretical playbooks. Using euro area survey data, the authors find that households interpret policy through a lens shaped by recent crises – such as the energy shock following Russia’s […]
Product market regulation reforms directly affect firm entry, innovation and reallocation, and thus productivity and economic growth. This column leverages the 2025 update of the OECD Energy, Transport and Communications Regulation indicator to show that anticompetitive regulations in upstream sectors curb long-run economic performance in downstream sectors. Across the OECD, deregulation in network industries between […]
