Since 2013, synthetic opioid overdoses have surged in the US, claiming over 70,000 lives each year. This crisis has had international spillovers, reigniting drug-related violence in Mexico, where a new wave of cartel warfare erupted after 2013. This column shows that the geography of this second wave is closely tied to fentanyl trafficking routes. Exploiting […]
Despite an abundance of low-skill labour, India has never experienced the kind of takeoff in low-skill, labour-intensive manufacturing seen in other countries at comparable income levels. This column argues that a key reason for this underperformance is the exit barriers faced by Indian manufacturing firms which entry of new firms, prolong the survival of low-productive […]
Global export competitiveness is rapidly evolving. This column presents a novel granular decomposition of export market share changes into demand and supply effects. Applied to Germany, it reveals steep supply‑side losses in medium-/high‑tech and energy‑intensive goods driving recent market share declines. Meanwhile, China continues to gain competitiveness in medium-/high‑tech exports, even as adverse demand pulls […]
The euro was up less than 0.1% at $1.1652, while sterling was flat at $1.3462. The U.S. dollar was little changed on Monday before Tuesday’s deadline for Washington and Beijing to strike a tariff deal and a key U.S. inflation report that could help determine whether the Federal Reserve lowers borrowing costs next month. The […]
China’s yuan was flat at 7.195 per dollar in offshore trading. Currency markets were in a holding pattern on Tuesday, with traders’ reluctance to make large bets ahead of U.S. inflation data – important for Federal Reserve policy expectations – capping moves after UK jobs data and an Australian rate cut. A moderate reading on […]
Higher soyoil imports will lift India’s total edible oil imports in the year by 1% to 16.1 million tons, dealers estimated. India’s soyoil imports are poised to surge 60% year-on-year to a record high in 2024/25, as refiners boost purchases due to cheaper prices compared with rival palm oil, shipments of which are set to […]
The most active corn contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) was up 0.6% at $3.99-1/2 a bushel at 0931 GMT but on course for a weekly loss of about 1.5% Chicago corn futures rose on Friday but remained on track for a weekly loss, after larger estimates of U.S. and Brazilian crops showed […]
Dollar on course to end week flat against EUR; lower against JPY, GBP The dollar was largely steady against the euro and British pound on Friday as traders trimmed wagers on monetary policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve following hotter-than-expected wholesale inflation data. The Japanese yen, meanwhile, firmed broadly following surprising strong economic growth […]
Expectations a closely-watched crop tour in the United States this week will boost expectations of large U.S. corn harvest also weakened corn Chicago soybean and corn futures fell on Monday, pressured by favourable U.S. weather and concerns over low export demand as trade tensions between the U.S. and top buyer China continued. Expectations a closely-watched […]
As the global economy continues to adapt to macroeconomic shifts, infrastructure investment remains a critical driver of job creation, long-term development opportunities and resilience. While recent interest rate hikes and inflationary pressures have reshaped return expectations and complicated financing conditions, infrastructure has stood firm as a preferred asset class. With relatively stable revenues and strong government […]
