Few economic debates have lasted as long as the 160-year debate concerning the effects of Italian unification on the economies of Italy’s South and North. This column proposes a way to move the argument forward. The authors estimate the causal effects of unification on the agricultural share, literacy rates, and railway density in the South […]
There is currently much discussion about President Trump’s tariffs, the US trade deficit, and its causes and impacts, but little in the way of economic modelling to inform the discussion. This column uses a theoretical model of international trade to demonstrate that the US trade deficit might be regarded as the consequence of rational market […]
Three forces have always shaped globalisation – technology, policies, and geopolitics. What distinguishes the current moment is that all three are accelerating simultaneously but in different directions. This column introduces a new eBook showing how this divergent acceleration creates transformation rather than retreat from globalisation. But it also generates acute tension between rapidly changing economic […]
It is well established that exporters tend to be some of the most productive firms. But in today’s world, exporters typically rely strongly on other firms in their supply network. This columns uses data on the domestic supply chains of Dutch exporters to investigate whether domestic suppliers to exporting firms are more productive than firms […]
The collapse of the Bretton Woods system has traditionally been cited as heralding a major shift towards floating exchange rates. The extent of this transition has recently been challenged. This column introduces a new index of global exchange rate fixity which is invariant to country boundaries and accounts for indirect relationships. It finds that global […]
Forecasts underpinning budgetary plans have a well-documented impact on fiscal performance especially when policymakers view the world through rosy lenses. Combined with inertia in the implementation phase, optimism contributes to a possible deficit bias and the accumulation of government debt. This column introduces the new Forecast Tracker of the Secretariat of the European Fiscal Board, […]
U.S. investor and entrepreneur Anthony Pompliano announced on Monday the creation of a new bitcoin treasury company that would hold up to $1 billion of the world’s largest cryptocurrency on its balance sheet. Pompliano said in a statement that his financial services firm ProCap BTC would merge with Columbus Circle Capital I, a special purpose […]
The European Commission is set to clarify that the European Union’s crypto rules allow stablecoins issued by a company with an EU licence to be treated as interchangeable with those issued by a company’s non-EU entities, a source close to the matter said on Wednesday. The Commission will provide the clarification in the near future, […]
Businesses will find it easier to get state aid for projects aimed at cutting their carbon emissions and to switch to green projects while heavy industries will benefit from temporary power price relief under looser rules announced by the European Commission on Wednesday. The new state aid rules, valid until December 2030, are part of […]
Germany, the Czech Republic and 14 other countries have demanded the European Union introduce stricter price controls to the bloc’s new carbon market, over fears the policy will raise consumers’ bills, a document seen by Reuters showed. The paper, which has support from enough countries to form the “qualified majority” needed to pass EU laws, […]
