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tax Banking Featured World

Estimating the Laffer tax rate on capital income: Cross-base responses matter

Capital income taxation is increasingly recognised as essential for addressing inequality, yet its effectiveness is often limited by behavioural responses. This column analyses French capital income tax reforms and finds that both capital income and labour income responses to capital tax changes play a crucial role in determining the Laffer tax rate on capital income. […]

Technology Banking Featured Finance

Trump family and allies to bask in crypto industry’s euphoria at Gulf bitcoin gathering

 Key players in U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s new cryptocurrency venture were among high-profile industry figures gathering at a bitcoin conference in Abu Dhabi on Monday, as the digital currency sets record highs. Speakers at the two-day event include Trump’s son Eric as well as billionaire Steve Witkoff, the new White House envoy for the Middle […]

Business Featured Finance World

Allianz wants to redistribute three quarters of profit to shareholders

Germany’s Allianz said on Monday it plans to distribute at least three-quarters of its net profit to shareholders via dividends and share buybacks over the next three years. The Munich-based insurer said it would maintain its dividend policy of distributing 60% of the net profit after minority interests directly. Additionally, from 2025 to 2027, at least […]

Environment Climate Featured World

2024 is the hottest year on record, EU scientists say

This year will be the world’s warmest since records began, with extraordinarily high temperatures expected to persist into at least the first few months of 2025, European Union scientists said on Monday. The data from the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) comes two weeks after U.N. climate talks yielded a $300 billion deal to tackle climate […]

Technology Economy Featured World

Brussels seeks more information on secret Google-Meta ads deal targeting teens, FT reports

European regulators have asked Google for more information about its now-scrapped secret advertising partnership with Instagram-parent Meta Platforms that ignored the search company’s rules on how minors should be treated online, the Financial Times reported on Tuesday. An FT investigation, revealed in August how Google helped Meta in a secret marketing project targeting 13- to 17-year-olds who […]

Business Economy Featured

China ready to go deeper into debt to counter Trump’s tariffs

In one of their most dovish statements in more than a decade, Chinese leaders signalled on Monday they are ready to deploy whatever stimulus is needed to counter the impact of expected U.S. trade tariffs on next year’s economic growth. After a meeting of top Communist Party officials, the Politburo, officials said they would switch […]

Climate Environment Featured tax

Carbon tax reform: Fair, efficient, and budget-neutral

Carbon taxes are notoriously unpopular, but handing back carbon tax revenue as lump-sum dividends to all citizens as climate dividends is inefficient. This column investigates three revenue recycling scenarios through a simulation model for Germany. For optimal efficiency and equity, carbon taxes must be set higher, beyond the aggregate damages from global warming, and the […]

Banking Economy Featured Finance

Central bank business surveys: Version 2.0

Sample surveys have been a fundamental tool for capturing policy-relevant heterogeneities among agents, especially firms, and remain crucial for providing insights into key analytical issues. This column argues that the digitalisation of information systems, the rise of artificial intelligence, and the growing availability of administrative and big data offer significant opportunities for improving surveys. Integrating […]

Finance Banking Featured

A hidden dragon: China’s spillovers on the financial markets of emerging economies

Global financial markets are becoming increasingly intertwined. This column analyses the potential spillovers of shocks originating in China on the financial markets of emerging economies, distinguishing between disturbances stemming from monetary policy and those related to China’s macroeconomic developments. The findings reveal that macroeconomic disturbances in China have significant lasting effects on financial variables of […]

Productivity Featured Innovation

Miracle or myth: Assessing the macroeconomic productivity gains from artificial intelligence

Artificial intelligence has been shown to deliver large performance gains in selected economic activities, but its aggregate impact remains debated. This column discusses a micro-to-macro framework to assess the aggregate productivity gains from AI under different scenarios. AI could contribute between 0.25 and 0.6 percentage points to annual total factor productivity growth in the US […]