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Featured Business Finance News

Germany rejects UniCredit’s latest Commerzbank stake hike in strongest rebuke yet

 Germany rejected UniCredit’s latest Commerzbank stake increase as an “uncoordinated and unfriendly approach” on Wednesday, strongly rebuking the Italian bank. UniCredit, which angered Berlin when it emerged as Commerzbank’s biggest private investor in September, said it had raised its stake in Commerzbank to 28% using derivatives. “Today’s news is remarkable because UniCredit had previously publicly emphasised that it did […]

Finance Economy Featured News

Brazil’s real hits record low as markets eye govt spending

 Brazil’s real tumbled by the most in over two years to a fresh record low on Wednesday and stocks were also under pressure as financial markets put the Brazilian government’s spending plans and wide budget deficit to the test. The local currency hit its weakest-ever mark of 6.3139 to the dollar before closing down 2.9% […]

Featured Economy News

Political distrust and the populist alt-view trap

The recent rise of populist movements in Western democracies has accompanied an erosion of trust in institutions and expertise. This column examines the dynamic between traditional policymaking – characterised by complex compromise – and the rise, persistence, and recurrence of populism, which tends to encourage extreme and simplistic policies without solid evidence. The link between […]

Development Featured trade World

Chinese infrastructure lending and Africa’s global value chain participation

Chinese lending to African countries has surged over the past 15 years, primarily aimed at financing infrastructure projects. This column shows that by lowering trade costs, Chinese infrastructure loans are linked to increased participation in global value chains, particularly in downstream sectors. As a result, Chinese lending may contribute to export growth and enhanced productivity […]

Climate Environment Featured News

Climate change, central banks, and monetary policy trade-offs

High temperature shocks create monetary policy trade-offs. This column uses a new monthly data set to study how 14 European central banks have responded to abnormally high temperatures in a centennial perspective (1920-2019). High temperature shocks are negative supply shocks to which central banks have reacted by lowering their interest rates. The macroeconomic impact of […]

Economy Featured Social Security World

Social mobility and inequality: New evidence from Imperial China

Social mobility in pre-industrial times has been argued to be much lower than often estimated and that it hardly changes over time. This column uses family records from central China over 1300–1900 to estimate social mobility. Within this sample, intergenerational mobility was not necessarily low and changed over time: mobility was substantially higher in the […]