Numerous central banks started to build the countercyclical capital buffer as bank profitability began to soar during the recent tightening cycle. Recent evidence suggests that building the buffer when there is headroom for doing so does not harm lending in the short-term and tends to increase it at longer horizons. This column proposes a quantitative […]
Asia’s rise as a global carbon trading hub is grounded in its strong financial infrastructure, forward-looking regulatory environment, and commitment to environmental innovation. As a regional and international hub, Singapore attracts governments, investors, project developers, and environmental organizations looking to scale credible carbon credit solutions. Facilitating transparent and high-integrity carbon pricing and trading systems can […]
I have a new paper coming out in a symposium on power calculations in the journal Fiscal Studies, which puts together my tips for applied researchers on designing and analyzing powerful experiments. It pulls together some of the advice I’ve offered in this blog over the years, as well as from classes I teach on experimental design and […]
An estimated 254 million people (approximately 3 in 100) lived with chronic hepatitis B in 2022, a virus which causes inflammation of the liver and can lead to severe liver disease and liver cancer. Despite the disease being preventable and treatable, an estimated 1.1 million people died from hepatitis B in 2022 alone. Indonesia (17.5 million), Nigeria […]
Over the past year, I’ve seen a growing interest in, and a stronger demand for, better tools to prepare for and respond to crises. Our partners in government, the private sector, civil society, foundations, and other development organizations send us the same message time and time again: In the face of crisis, we need greater […]
International trade plays a complex role in shaping environmental outcomes. A new World Bank paper, “Trade’s Emissions Paradox: Cutting Greenhouse Gases, Raising Air Pollution,” prepared for the forthcoming flagship report “Reboot Development: The Economics of a Livable Planet,” brings a new perspective to the debate by revealing an important insight: while global trade has contributed […]
As global trade expands, so does the number of workers in high-income countries whose jobs are tied to exports. More of that growth is generated by exports to low-and middle-income countries than to other high-income countries. Employment generated by exports of goods and services to low and middle-income countries, either directly or indirectly, more than doubled […]
In their recent blog Can Africa Claim the 21st Century?, Andrew Dabalen and Chorching Goh rightly highlight Africa’s moment of opportunity: a convergence of global attention, demographic momentum, and natural resource wealth. But whether this century can truly be Africa’s depends on whether its cities are able to generate enough good jobs to employ its growing population. […]
Stanley Fischer, the World Bank’s chief economist from January 1988 to August 1990, passed away on May 31, 2025. Stan Fischer’s immense professional contributions to modern macroeconomic and monetary policy, both as faculty at MIT and in the positions he held thereafter—as the first deputy managing director of the IMF (1994-2001), in running the Bank […]
In a world saturated with research and policy recommendations, it’s more important than ever to synthesize evidence well. A single study in a single setting may not yield estimates of impact that can be generalized to other contexts; we may worry about spurious effects. Aggregating results across multiple studies can give us more confidence in […]
