Global merchandise trade tops expectations in H1

WTO economists raised the 2025 merchandise trade growth forecast to 2.4%. Global merchandise trade outpaced expectations in the first half of 2025, driven by increased
The enormous economic burden of age-related diseases in South America

As populations age, noncommunicable diseases and mental health conditions are draining South American economies, reducing labour supply and diverting resources from investment. This column presents
Sierra Leone’s path to a water-secure and WASH-improved future

In the words of President Julius Maada Bio, “access to safe water and sanitation is not a favor extended to the few, but a right
How the US South caught up: A century of manufacturing productivity convergence

Economic historians have long debated whether lagging regions can catch up in productivity with industrial leaders. This column shows that, under the right conditions, such
Local problems, local solutions: The need for advanced skills and R&D in the developing world

Education is part of the enabling infrastructure required for jobs, social development, and future economic growth. Unfortunately, low- and middle-income countries face an urgent skills
The economic impact of European capital market integration

Economic growth in Europe continues to lag behind that of the US, largely due to smaller productivity gains. This column uses a general equilibrium model
Working hours around the world

Working hours are a fundamental determinant of economic growth and wellbeing, but we still lack a comprehensive picture of how they vary globally and historically.
How much of a threat to US debt sustainability is Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act?

The US should start fiscal adjustment as soon as it can if it wants to head off the risk of exploding debt related to Trump’s
How real-time data misled policymakers during the post-COVID recovery

Preliminary data releases can diverge significantly from subsequently revised figures, complicating economic policy decisions made in real time. This column shows how real-time GDP releases
Sparking the investment miracle developing economies need to create jobs

Developing economies today face an investment shortfall of historic proportions. Meeting even the most modest development goals will require a huge investment push—equal to about 5 percent

