When trust in official statistics declines

Trust in official economic statistics has become an increasingly salient policy issue, including in the US where the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Fiscal rules compliance and sovereign borrowing costs: Some evidence from the euro area

Governments with well-designed fiscal rules generally enjoy lower yields but less is known about whether investors price compliance with these rules. Using a panel of
Planning for the rising fiscal costs of climate disasters

Low insurance coverage is turning EU governments into disaster insurers of last resort, strengthening the case for prevention and adaptation finance. Climate-related disasters are affecting
Not all reserves are born equal: Why the source matters for sovereign risk

Emerging market economies hold foreign exchange reserves to insure against currency crises and to cushion exchange rate movements. Reserves are generally associated with lower sovereign
Hungary has room to streamline public spending without hurting growth

Cutting some state operating and economic spending to the average of its regional peers could save Hungary more than four percent of GDP. Hungary’s new
Beyond borders, within societies: Inequality and the global transmission of US monetary policy

Understanding how US monetary policy is transmitted to foreign economies has long been a challenge for policymakers and researchers. This column shows that the domestic
The devil is in the tail: How firms’ beliefs about rare macroeconomic disasters shape investment

Little is known about how firms think about rare macroeconomic disasters and how these beliefs shape their decisions. This column uses survey evidence from a
Building Resilience in Europe and Central Asia: A Smart Investment for Growth and Jobs

The data is clear: Investments in adaptation and resilience deliver high economic returns but remain insufficient and poorly targeted. Evidence shows that targeted, early investments
Fiscal drag in Europe: How inflation is quietly affecting public revenue

The 2022 inflationary spike in Europe has brought renewed interest in fiscal drag. Using harmonised microdata for 21 European countries, this column documents that the
Six ways to make tourism projects work for people, places, and prosperity

Tourism generates 10 percent of global GDP and supports 1 in 10 jobs worldwide. Because of this, it’s a key sector of interest for the

