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Finance Featured News World

IMF lending and private sector investment decisions

Financial support by the IMF aims to create breathing room for countries hit by crises and provide a seal of approval that appropriate policies are adopted, helping improve future prospects during periods of heightened risks. This column examines how IMF lending arrangements may impact a firm’s investment decisions. The authors find that lending from the […]

trade Featured World

Trade effects of industrial policies: The shielding effect of preferential agreements

Industrial policy is in vogue among policymakers globally. This column examines the shielding effect that membership of a preferential trade agreement can have when a trade partner implements a new industrial policy. The authors find that the introduction of a new industrial policy measure in a destination market reduces export growth to that market. However, […]

Business Featured Finance

Inequality within countries is falling

Tax data suggest that while inequality between countries has fallen dramatically, inequality within countries has risen. Household surveys point to much lower within-country inequality, but may suffer from underreporting of income. This column uses a new method to estimate the degree to which the rich report a lower fraction of income than the poor do, […]

Technology Featured News World

Robots and wage polarisation

Industrial robots can have a transformative effect on employment and wages. This column studies how the rise of robot capital has influenced wage polarisation across different occupations in the US. It finds that the substitutability between robots and labour is heterogeneous across occupations, and particularly strong in production and material-moving jobs. Robotisation has led to […]

Climate Energy Featured

Burn now or never: The response of fossil fuel firms to climate policy

The prospect of stricter climate regulations may prompt some firms to scale back operations due to expected declines in demand and rising production costs from carbon taxes, while others might ramp up investment to exploit resources and secure profits before the regulations hit. This column leverages variation in climate change exposure within the industry to […]

Environment Energy Featured

The economics of exempting green vehicles from congestion pricing

It is increasingly popular for cities to exempt clean cars from congestion pricing tolls. This column uses data from Stockholm to show that congestion pricing with exemptions for alternative vehicles can reduce traffic while incentivising green vehicle adoption, However, these exemptions are best employed when there are few existing electric vehicles on the road. Road […]

Economy Development Featured

An economic test for protecting consumers from AI-powered collusion

With Big Data and artificial intelligence fuelling a growing market in the supply of algorithms by software and data analytic companies to assist firms in the pricing of their products and services, there are concerns that competitors contracting with the same third party could coordinate price increases. This column summarises a new approach for uncovering […]

Economy Featured Finance

Culture clash: What 14 million images tell us about times a-changin’

Style choices are an important dimension of culture and are often used to demonstrate individualism or belonging to a group. This column uses over 14 million images from high school yearbooks to track cultural change in the US over space and time. Style characteristics of men and women converged from the 1960s onwards, driven by […]

Finance Economy Featured News

Confronting low fertility rates and population decline

Fertility rates have been declining in high-income countries for decades. This trend, along with increasing human longevity, poses a challenge for advanced economies. This column argues that a holistic set of policies can be implemented to address the economic risks. These policies should stimulate human capital accumulation and education, which are more important than population […]

Finance Business Featured News

The effect of AI adoption on jobs: Evidence from US commuting zones

Harnessing the potential of artificial intelligence has become one of the top priorities for policymakers around the world. Yet, doing so first requires a thorough understanding of the effects of these technologies on labour markets. Using data across US commuting zones over the period 2000-2020, this column presents evidence that AI adoption has reduced employment, […]