What the financial sector needs to know about climate-related risks in the next five years: Navigating the new NGFS short-term scenarios for Europe

The immediate effects of climate-related risks are particularly relevant for the financial sector. Climate stress tests, which are often carried out over three to five-year
Crude realities: Shaky balance in oil’s supply and demand shifts

The first four months of the year have been turbulent for oil markets. Brent crude oil plunged by more than $12 per barrel ($/bbl) in
The Commodity Markets Outlook in eight charts

The views expressed in the Let’s Talk Development blog are solely those of the author(s). Commodity prices are projected to decline in 2025, driven by
Do governments adhere to their approved budgets? Insights from PEFA assessments

Why budget reliability matters Accurate revenue and expenditure forecasting is crucial for effective budgeting to ensure that governments can adequately plan for public services, infrastructure
Extreme weather and nature loss: can the private sector be part of the infrastructure solution?

In 2018, after 3 years of droughts, the city of Cape Town in South Africa faced severe water shortages. Dam reservoir capacity had dropped to
Agreed and disagreed uncertainty: Rethinking the macroeconomic impact of uncertainty

The conventional wisdom is that uncertainty leads to economic contractions, but recent evidence challenges this assumption. This column introduces two novel concepts of uncertainty –
When illusions of wealth shape the economy: Understanding pseudo-wealth, macroeconomic volatility, and social welfare

Pseudo-wealth is a perception of wealth that is not backed by real economic resources. When people have widely different beliefs, they create ‘wealth’ through betting.
Oil prices climb 2% to two-week high on US-China tariff reductions

Oil prices climbed about 2% to a two-week high on Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to temporarily slash tariffs, raising hopes of an
NRG Energy shares hit all-time high on $12 billion power assets deal

NRG Energy said on Monday it would acquire power generation assets from energy infrastructure investment firm LS Power in a deal valued at $12 billion,
Lessons for the European Central Bank from the 2021-2023 inflationary episode

Since mid-2021, the euro-area economy has gone through several shocks, leading to the highest inflation since the creation of the European Monetary Union. A forceful

