A window of opportunity: Trade as catalyst for India’s development
Vikhsit Bharat : This is the ambitious goal India has set itself of becoming a high-income country by 2047. But reaching this goal will require India
Migration and regime change: Outflows follow democratic decline, inflows fuel illiberal drift
Recent years have seen a global shift towards illiberal forms of governance. Migration is often a central force in these dynamics. This column investigates the
Oil steadies on supply risks, OPEC+ output increase
Oil prices held steady on Wednesday after the U.S. barred Chevron from exporting crude from Venezuela, but an expected decision from OPEC+ later this week to
Moderate growth amid global trade uncertainty: The Commission’s Spring 2025 Forecast
President Trump’s sweeping “reciprocal tariffs” announced on 2 April sent shockwaves through the global economy. This column introduces the European Commission’s Spring Forecast, which depicts
The trade imbalance network and currency fluctuations
In recent years, concerns over global financial fragmentation have grown amid rising geopolitical tensions. This column integrates a network structure in a multi-country model with
Overcoming constraints: How banks helped US firms reroute their supply chains
Rising trade tensions and the pandemic have forced importers to reconfigure their supply chains – a complex and costly process. This column highlights the underappreciated
Nvidia supplier Foxconn cuts outlook due to currency appreciation
Taiwan’s Foxconn, the world’s largest contract electronics maker, downgraded its full-year outlook on Wednesday citing recent appreciation of the Taiwan dollar, even as it struck
The Commodity Markets Outlook in eight charts
The views expressed in the Let’s Talk Development blog are solely those of the author(s). Commodity prices are projected to decline in 2025, driven by
Exchange rate uncertainty, tariff hikes, and adjustment costs
The recent shift in trade policy by the new US administration is impacting global trade and creating volatility in financial markets. This column quantifies the
The impact of international economic sanctions on informal employment
Economic sanctions have become an increasingly common instrument of foreign policy, promoted as a non-violent alternative to military intervention. However, their effects on labour markets
