The Commodity Markets Outlook in eight charts
The views expressed in the Let’s Talk Development blog are solely those of the author(s). Commodity prices are projected to decline in 2025, driven by
Exchange rate uncertainty, tariff hikes, and adjustment costs
The recent shift in trade policy by the new US administration is impacting global trade and creating volatility in financial markets. This column quantifies the
The impact of international economic sanctions on informal employment
Economic sanctions have become an increasingly common instrument of foreign policy, promoted as a non-violent alternative to military intervention. However, their effects on labour markets
Dollar slips, Taiwan dollar surge draws eyes
The U.S. dollar slipped again on Monday as a meteoric surge in its Taiwanese counterpart stoked speculation some Asian countries were prepared to engineer revaluations
Oil rises as market eyes US-China trade talks, lower US output
Oil prices pared gains on Wednesday but rose for a second session, finding support from positive investor sentiment over U.S.-China trade talks to be held
Gold rises as Fed flags economic uncertainty; Sino-US trade talks in focus
Gold climbed on Thursday after the Federal Reserve warned of rising inflation and labor market risks fuelling economic uncertainty, while investors awaited the outcome of
Agrifood powers economies and jobs across Europe and Central Asia
As economies develop, it is often assumed that agriculture becomes less relevant a small slice of GDP and a shrinking share of employment. But evidence
Identifying potential Chinese export redirection in 2024 US trade data
Tariff escalation between China and the US will result in decoupling of goods trade, raising fears that Chinese exports destined to the US market in
Redirecting Chinese exports from the US: Evidence on trade deflection from the first US-China trade war
With the prospect of far-reaching decoupling of goods trade between China and the US, fears of deflection of Chinese exports to third markets have returned.
Video might kill the radio star: Digitalisation and the future of banking
New technologies are changing how banks produce and provide financial services. These changes have implications for traditional banks, creating novel sources of systemic risk which
