Small and stuck: Why European firms can’t scale

In 2008, the US stock market was worth $3 trillion more than the combined European stock market; in 2023, the gap was $34 trillion. This
Europe’s productivity is more dynamic than aggregate statistics suggest

Aggregate productivity growth in Europe has disappointed over the last two decades, fuelling concerns about competitiveness. This column argues that firm-level evidence points to a
Nine centuries of cultural change and the productivity of ideas

Economic historians have long placed culture at the centre of the rise of the West, but have lacked a measure of culture spanning the emergence
Japan’s productivity transformation: From within-firm stagnation to market-driven reallocation

Discussions on Japan’s ‘lost decades’ have long focused on sluggish demand and the survival of ‘zombie’ firms. However, new evidence from microdata suggests a fundamental
Japan’s productivity transformation: From within-firm stagnation to market-driven reallocation

Discussions on Japan’s ‘lost decades’ have long focused on sluggish demand and the survival of ‘zombie’ firms. However, new evidence from microdata suggests a fundamental
How the rise of AI matters for fiscal policy

Predictions of the effects of AI on the economy and society tend to focus on productivity growth, job losses, and shifts in the distribution of
Lifelong learning is becoming increasingly important in response to labour market transformations

As digital, environmental, and demographic transformations reshape labour markets, skills influence who benefits from these changes and who falls behind. This column presents the findings
Higher utilisation explains the recent surge in productivity growth

US labour productivity has accelerated since 2022. Output per hour grew around 2.5% per year from the end of 2022 to the start of 2026,
The macroeconomic impact of the Recovery and Resilience Facility: An analysis for Italy, Spain, and Greece

The EU Recovery and Resilience Facility was launched to support post-Covid recovery while accelerating structural transformation through investment and reform. This column provides a preliminary
Small AI, big bets: How the world’s most impactful AI startups will be built in emerging markets

Walk into a hospital in Nigeria, where one doctor serves every 9,000 patients–fifteen times the WHO-recommended ratio. Every minute that a doctor spends on administrative

