Beyond exposure: Predicting AI adoption based on comparative advantage
Predictions about the workplace impact of artificial intelligence often begin with what the technology can do captured by occupations’ exposure to AI. Using representative data
The Inflation Reduction Act’s regional incentives promoted green investment, but did not create jobs
The US Inflation Reduction Act’s Energy Communities provisions aimed to increase clean-energy investment in areas vulnerable to the energy transition, create jobs, and build political
AI’s gains are large and rising, but unevenly shared
How large is the labour cost saved by AI, and how is it distributed across occupations? Using five waves of the Anthropic Economic Index from
Technology adoption and labour shortages: Evidence from Britain’s Industrial Revolution
As populations in rich countries age and fewer youngsters enter the labour force, employers and politicians bemoan labour ‘shortages’. This column turns to historical evidence
Regulation and growth reloaded: Lessons from 25 years of retail trade and professional services reforms
Retail trade and professional services employ a large share of workers across OECD countries and provide key intermediate inputs to downstream sectors. This column examines
Increasing employment in pre-retirement years slows cognitive decline
Dementia affects an estimated 6 million Americans. This column uses data from the Health and Retirement Study spanning 1996-2018 to assess the impact of employment
Immigration restrictions and natives’ intergenerational mobility: Evidence from the 1920s US quota acts
Much of the debate over the consequences of immigration restrictions for labour market outcomes of native-born workers focuses on short-run wage competition. This column exploits
After ‘the change’: How menopause affects women’s labour and health outcomes
The labour costs associated with the menopause transition have been largely understudied. Exploiting the individual timing of menopause, this column estimates the causal effects of
Lessons from Denmark’s eight-hour workday reform
In recent years, calls for shorter working weeks have re-emerged in Europe and elsewhere. This column examines how Denmark’s 1919 shift to the eight-hour workday
How tariffs hurt the ones you love
US stock markets fell in response to the announcement of President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs until the tariffs were paused a few days later. This
