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Banking Economy Featured Technology

Finding the sweet spot between bank rivalry and safety

Imagine your favorite open-air market. Stalls hustle for customers, prices fall, and shoppers win—until one fragile roof gives way and everyone scrambles. Banking is similar. Lean rivalry makes credit cheaper; cut-throat rivalry slashes margins so deeply that lenders may gamble to survive. Finding the sweet spot is not guess-work. A new World Bank working paper – Navigating […]

trade Featured Finance News World

The trade imbalance network and currency fluctuations

In recent years, concerns over global financial fragmentation have grown amid rising geopolitical tensions. This column integrates a network structure in a multi-country model with imperfect financial markets to study how currency risk premia are connected to financiers’ risk bearing capacity. Guided by the theory, it constructs a centrality-based characteristic that gives a direct role […]

Economy Development Featured World

Family law reform: An overlooked catalyst of economic growth

On this year’s International Day of Families, we explore a critical issue: the sidelining of family-oriented policies in mainstream economic discussions. Despite their transformative potential, family laws governing marriage, divorce, property rights, inheritance, and household decision-making often remain overlooked. These laws define personal relationships and set the legal boundaries of women’s agency, mobility, and access […]

Climate Banking Featured World

What the financial sector needs to know about climate-related risks in the next five years: Navigating the new NGFS short-term scenarios for Europe

The immediate effects of climate-related risks are particularly relevant for the financial sector. Climate stress tests, which are often carried out over three to five-year periods, have become crucial for assessing the impact of shifting weather patterns and evolving climate policies on both the economy and the financial system. This column highlights the key findings […]

Economy Featured News World

Agreed and disagreed uncertainty: Rethinking the macroeconomic impact of uncertainty

The conventional wisdom is that uncertainty leads to economic contractions, but recent evidence challenges this assumption. This column introduces two novel concepts of uncertainty – agreed and disagreed uncertainty. It shows that when uncertainty is accompanied by widespread consumer disagreement about economic conditions (disagreed uncertainty), the economy remains stable despite the elevated uncertainty. In contrast, […]

Finance Banking Economy Featured

Non-bank financial institutions’ reliance on banks for contingent credit under stress and its consequences

In recent years, banks’ credit line exposure to non-bank financial institutions has grown significantly. This column analyses the implications by focusing on a specific type of such institutions – real estate investment trusts. These trusts are significant investors in commercial real estate and therefore exposed to rising interest rates and economic slowdowns. They have higher […]

Banking Business Economy Environment Featured Finance Investing

ADNOC listed companies to distribute over $6.7bln in total annual dividends

Shareholders voted overwhelmingly to approve the dividend proposals brought forth by each companies’ Boards of Directors ADNOC Group’s publicly traded portfolio companies collectively endorsed over $6.7 billion (AED24.6 billion) in annual dividend payments to shareholders for 2024, reflecting their strong financial health and commitment to shareholders value. At the Annual General Meetings (AGM) of all […]

Economy Banking Featured Finance

Lumpy forecasts: Rational inaction in professional forecasting

Forecasts from professionals (economists, analysts, brokers, academics) are a key input into economic decision-making. This column highlights that professional forecasts are ‘lumpy’, often remaining unchanged for several periods, before shifting in large, infrequent jumps. It argues that this reflects ‘rational inaction’, as frequent adjustments or constant swings could undermine credibility. It suggests a natural distinction […]

World Featured Finance media News

Managing credit in dollarised economies: The effective but asymmetric effects of foreign currency reserve requirements

Emerging markets with partially dollarised financial systems are particularly vulnerable to global financial cycles. This column examines how reserve requirements on foreign currency deposits can help mitigate credit booms induced by capital inflows. Focusing on Peru between 2008 and 2017, the authors combine microdata with a calibrated macro model to show that foreign currency reserve […]

Business Economy Featured World

Homeowners care about inflation, renters less so

Consumers have vastly different views about inflation – shaped by personal experience, financial literacy, and exposure to economic news. This column examines how consumers’ housing status shapes the attention they pay to inflation and their subsequent spending decisions, demonstrating marked differences between renters and homeowners. In an experiment conducted with US households between 2021 and […]