The European Union’s automotive sector needs a plan, not undue protection
European automotive policy should prioritise affordable competitiveness over protectionism, using resilience criteria and temporary safeguards. The European automotive industry faces significant challenges: electrification, Chinese competition
New jobs in 140 years of data: Why the AI displacement fear is overstated — and what to worry about instead
Forecasts of AI-driven job destruction rest on counting automatable tasks. But labour markets hire, pay, and fire whole occupations, not tasks – and occupations have
Inside the automotive supply chain: Empirical evidence from Italian business-to-business trade data
Europe’s automotive industry is undergoing a significant transformation. This column uses firm-to-firm data to map the Italian automotive supply chain, covering both direct suppliers and
A view to a kill…ing of productivity: The allocative cost of war in Ukraine
Estimates of the cost of Russia’s war on Ukraine are dominated by what the war destroys. This column measures a second cost: the labour and
Growth through innovation bursts: Why industrial policy should not bet on size
Industrial policy is back on the agenda across advanced economies, with a growing channelling support towards large incumbent firms on the premise that they are
Inflexibility and the stalled progress of American women in the labour market
The labour force participation of women in the US peaked in 1997 and has stagnated since. This column argues that workplace inflexibility is the common
Beyond exposure: Predicting AI adoption based on comparative advantage
Predictions about the workplace impact of artificial intelligence often begin with what the technology can do captured by occupations’ exposure to AI. Using representative data
The Inflation Reduction Act’s regional incentives promoted green investment, but did not create jobs
The US Inflation Reduction Act’s Energy Communities provisions aimed to increase clean-energy investment in areas vulnerable to the energy transition, create jobs, and build political
AI’s gains are large and rising, but unevenly shared
How large is the labour cost saved by AI, and how is it distributed across occupations? Using five waves of the Anthropic Economic Index from
The anatomy of job polarisation: Evidence from four decades of French worker flows
Employment polarisation – the decline of middle-skill routine occupations relative to both ends of the skill distribution – is usually documented from repeated cross-sections. However,
