A Warning Shot for Human Capital: Evidence of an AI Learning Penalty
Are we missing the big story on what AI means for human capital? I raised this question last year in my closing remarks at our AI
Closing the skills gap: why industry must help lead the way
The global economy is changing at extraordinary speed, and education and training systems are struggling to keep up. Artificial intelligence is transforming jobs almost overnight.
Literature support and the capabilities of autonomous research agents
A central weakness of modern machine-learning systems is that performance tends to deteriorate outside the support of the training distribution. This column uses a tournament-style
How X’s algorithm shifts political attitudes
Algorithms curate what users of social media see, raising concerns that they may distort attitudes and affect social and political outcomes. This column reports on
The market value of non-degree credentials: New evidence from 37 million US workers
Non-degree credentials are rapidly multiplying as alternatives to traditional higher education, but in a largely unregulated market. This column draws on nearly 40 million US
Income, democracy, and growth: Broadening the perspective
Does prosperity bring democracy? Does democracy boost prosperity? This column argues that the answer to both questions depends critically on whether a country has made
Socioeconomic inequality in longevity is larger than we thought
It is well established that individuals with higher socioeconomic status live longer than those with lower socioeconomic status, but most evidence on this is based
What we can learn from public debt reductions in OECD countries
Public debt-to-GDP ratios have risen substantially over the past 25 years, and multiple spending pressures threaten to increase them further. This column outlines the lessons
Why information campaigns may backfire: Voter heterogeneity and network effects
Political information campaigns that perform well in focus groups and pilot studies may backfire when applied at scale. This column uses a field experiment in
The role of wages in retaining effective teachers in the classroom
Concerns about declining student achievements have become central in education debates, with teacher quality drawing attention as a key driver. This column examines how wages
