Financial markets are volatile, and research attributes this to highly variable and often irrational investor beliefs. This column uses a large-scale survey of Chinese retail investors to study the role of investor memory in financial decision-making. Combining free recall of market episodes and probed recall of personal returns, it finds that sharp crashes and dramatic […]
The new US administration has made the Federal Reserve’s monetary policymaking more complicated both because of the elevated uncertainty regarding administration policies and because of the extraordinary political pressure put on the central bank. This column describes how, thus far, the Fed has followed a cautious path for policy, waiting for more information on policy […]
Effectively suspended since the onset of the Covid pandemic, the EU fiscal rules were set to make a comeback in 2024. At the same time, the EU was pushing for a major and swift overhaul of its fiscal framework. This column describes how, caught between freedom and responsibility of the transition phase, countries with a […]
In recent years, banks’ credit line exposure to non-bank financial institutions has grown significantly. This column analyses the implications by focusing on a specific type of such institutions – real estate investment trusts. These trusts are significant investors in commercial real estate and therefore exposed to rising interest rates and economic slowdowns. They have higher […]
Over and over in the history of the international monetary system, national policymakers have pointed to – and voiced concerns about – the effects of policy actions undertaken in foreign countries on the outlook and financial conditions in their own domestic economies. The most recent example involves the spillovers of tighter monetary policies to address […]
