
Harnessing the wisdom of the crowds for OECD recession predictions
A key challenge in predicting recessions is distinguishing which factors matter at different forecasting horizons and across different countries.

A key challenge in predicting recessions is distinguishing which factors matter at different forecasting horizons and across different countries.

Fact-checking has emerged as one of the most prominent policy tools to combat the spread of misinformation, but critics

Over the past two decades, start-ups have increasingly turned to acquisition as their preferred exit strategy, but the impact

It is a common hope that Russia’s war with Ukraine will erode domestic support for the Kremlin. This column

British consumer price inflation fell to 3.2% in November, its lowest since March, from 3.6% in October, official figures

The US announcement on 2 April 2025 of “Liberation Day” tariffs created an unexpected, precisely timed, and country-specific episode

When Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, over a million Ukrainian refugees fled to Poland. This column shows that far

Global services trade is expanding rapidly, but its intangible nature makes it a prime channel for profit shifting, prompting

Euro supported by ECB’s stance and strong economic data. Euro supported by ECB’s The U.S. dollar hovered around multi-week

British consumer price inflation fell to 3.2% in November, its lowest since March, from 3.6% in October, official figures

A key challenge in predicting recessions is distinguishing which factors matter at different forecasting horizons and across different countries.

Fact-checking has emerged as one of the most prominent policy tools to combat the spread of misinformation, but critics

Over the past two decades, start-ups have increasingly turned to acquisition as their preferred exit strategy, but the impact

It is a common hope that Russia’s war with Ukraine will erode domestic support for the Kremlin. This column

British consumer price inflation fell to 3.2% in November, its lowest since March, from 3.6% in October, official figures

The US announcement on 2 April 2025 of “Liberation Day” tariffs created an unexpected, precisely timed, and country-specific episode

When Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, over a million Ukrainian refugees fled to Poland. This column shows that far

Global services trade is expanding rapidly, but its intangible nature makes it a prime channel for profit shifting, prompting

Euro supported by ECB’s stance and strong economic data. Euro supported by ECB’s The U.S. dollar hovered around multi-week

British consumer price inflation fell to 3.2% in November, its lowest since March, from 3.6% in October, official figures




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