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Economy Featured Finance

Inflation expectations: Making all the information count

Surveys find heterogeneity among individuals’ expectations. This heterogeneity, when explicitly accounted for, modifies standard models of inflation dynamics. This column proposes a novel way of estimating models of inflation that account for the role of heterogeneous beliefs. Heterogenous expectations play a statistically and economically important part in explaining the dynamics of inflation. They contributed to […]

Economy Featured Healthcare

Health insurance expansion reduced height inequality in Europe

The third UN Millennium Development Goal seeks to ensure a healthy life “for all”. Using height inequality as an indicator, this column shows that the introduction of public health insurance schemes over the last 150 years substantially reduced health inequality. However, a variety of outcome measures are needed to monitor health inequality in order to […]

Environment Climate Featured

A proposal to refocus the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism on preventing carbon leakage

Negotiations over phasing out fossil fuels at the COP28 climate summit highlighted how difficult it is for the international community to coordinate climate policies. This column argues that the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism constitutes an important step forward from current anti-leakage policies, but only if it can prevent evasion and impose no unnecessary economic […]

Economy Featured World

A framework for geoeconomics

Discussion of ‘geoeconomics’ – countries using their economic strength to achieve geopolitical goals – has increased rapidly following the imposition of Western sanctions on Russia. This column presents a novel framework to understand how a hegemon in the international system exerts its power within its economic network. The authors use the framework to demonstrate how […]

trade Featured World

Relationship stickiness in international trade

The vulnerability of supply chains to disruptions is closely related to the dynamics of firm-to-firm trade relationships. This column introduces a new measure of ‘relationship stickiness’ which quantifies these vulnerabilities across 5,000 different product categories. Stickier product markets are more sensitive to the impact of distance on the magnitude of trade and experience a stronger […]

Development Economy Featured

Fiscal deteriorations around elections in emerging market and developing economies

In emerging market and developing economies, primary fiscal deficits, primary government expenditures, and government wage bills have tended to rise significantly around election years – in democracies and non-democracies alike. This column explores political budget cycles in 104 emerging market and developing economies during 1993-2022 and finds that, while primary spending increases tended to be […]

Economy Featured World

The unequal impact of the 2021-2022 inflation surge on euro area households

Prices across many advanced economies surged in 2021-22. This column estimates the impact of this inflation shock on euro area households. It shows that higher prices reduced the real incomes and net wealth of most households as there was no immediate increase in nominal wages and pensions, nominal house prices, or the nominal value of […]

Featured Economy Finance

The commercialisation of university research: The role of people versus place

University-based research has long been seen as a source of innovation and economic growth, but many discoveries made by university faculty never realise their full commercial potential. This column analyses the process of translating cutting-edge research into commercial activity. Examining cases in which scientists moved from one academic institution to another, the authors find that […]

Press Release

SibtainAliShahBukhari(born (day) February 1979, Karachi, Pakistan) is a Pakistani banker philanthropist.

Early life and education Bukhari was born in Karachi on (day) February 1979. Bukhari’s grandfather, Ameer Shah Bukhari, an Indian Civil Services officer, later became a revenue collector in Hyderabad, Sindh. His father, Shaukat Ali Shah Bukhari, a senior bureaucrat and author, served as the Director General of Excise Police in Sindh, Pakistan. Bukhari completed his early education at the St Paul’s School. In 1999, Bukhari Did his bachelor’s degree in marketing at The University of Manchester. Two years later, he returned to Karachi to continue his education and secured an MBA in marketing from the Institute of Business Management, Karachi. In 2010, he traveled […]