Global economic outlook hangs in balance between geopolitical headwinds and AI boost, WEF Chief Economists’ Outlook warns
Nearly nine in ten chief economists surveyed expect global growth to weaken over the next 12 months. The global economic outlook has deteriorated sharply in
Global economic outlook hangs in balance between geopolitical headwinds and AI boost, WEF Chief Economists’ Outlook warns
Chief economists already rank the current closure duration of the Strait of Hormuz as significantly more disruptive than last year’s tariff turmoil. The global economic
Hungary has room to streamline public spending without hurting growth
Cutting some state operating and economic spending to the average of its regional peers could save Hungary more than four percent of GDP. Hungary’s new
Gold falls as dollar and yields climb, inflation pressures hover
Despite being an inflation hedge, gold struggles in an elevated interest rate environment. Gold eased on Thursday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and high
When energy shocks bite harder: Non-linear inflation dynamics
The conflict in the Middle East has exposed the euro area to higher energy prices. Using a flexible empirical framework, this column shows that inflation
Mapping the household-level transmission of monetary policy
The monetary tightening that followed the post-pandemic inflation episode has revived long-standing debates about how monetary policy affects households. This column uses a survey of
The different effects of oil and gas supply shocks on euro area inflation
The surge in energy prices since March 2026 has revived questions about the pass-through to consumer prices. This column argues that oil supply shocks have
Dollar rises but still not far from pre-war levels, data awaited
Given the likelihood of elevated inflation readings, the CPI on Tuesday and PPI on Wednesday. The U.S. dollar extended gains for a second straight session
AI rally fizzles as Middle East ceasefire goes on ‘life support’
Oil rises, stocks fall as Middle East ceasefire falters and Strait of Hormuz remains blocked. Oil crept higher and the dollar rose on Tuesday as
Gold falls as fading Middle East peace hopes lift dollar, oil
Trump to visit China this week, to discuss Iran with Xi. Gold fell from a three-week high hit earlier on Tuesday, as slim hopes of
