Forecasting inflation: The sum of the cycles outperforms the whole

Inflation reflects forces operating at different cycles, from short-lived shocks to slow-moving structural trends. Yet most forecasting models treat inflation as a single aggregate process.
Dollar slips as traders focus on Fed cut bets, risk sentiment improves

Markets pricing in Fed rate cuts for both October and December. The U.S. dollar slipped against a basket of peers on Wednesday after comments from
Race cars and hydromet systems: What do they have in common?

Professional race cars and hydromet (weather, water, and climate forecasting) systems may seem worlds apart, but they have more in common than we realize. Both

