How real-time data misled policymakers during the post-COVID recovery

Preliminary data releases can diverge significantly from subsequently revised figures, complicating economic policy decisions made in real time. This column shows how real-time GDP releases
Turkey sees inflation at 28.5% in 2025 with single digits by 2027, programme says

GDP growth seen at 3.3% in 2025. Turkey’s medium-term economic programme forecasts inflation to hit 28.5% in 2025 and 16% in 2026, before reaching single
Reimagining development in fragile and conflict-affected settings

Fragility is no longer the exception. It is the new development realityFragility, conflict, and violence (FCV) are not abstract to us. They are lived realities.
India PM Modi faces opposition fury after Trump’s 25% tariff threat

Trump said the tariff on imports from India would start from Friday, in addition to an unspecified penalty for Russian dealings and involvement in the
Uncertain times in Lebanon: How policy shocks ripple through MENA markets

Despite its small size, Lebanon’s chronic crises send financial shockwaves across the Middle East and North Africa. This column uses a Twitter-based index of economic
Japan to raise foreign direct investment target to $1trln by mid-2030s, sources say

The new targets, to be formally included in the government’s upcoming fiscal and economic policy guidelines in June, represent a sharp escalation from the previous
How to manage the economic trade-offs of public procurement policies in developing economies

Government procurement—the process in which public entities buy goods and services from private companies—represents between 5% and 20% of a country’s GDP, depending on the

