Economy

Gold slips on inflation concerns as high oil prices and stronger dollar weigh

Brent crude oil climbs back above $100 a barrel.

Gold prices fell on Thursday, pressured by a stronger dollar and elevated oil prices that stoked inflation worries, ​as investors tried to assess the conflict direction from stalled U.S.-Iran talks.

Spot gold was down 0.8% at $4,699.85 ​per ounce, ​as of 1007 GMT. U.S. gold futures for June delivery fell 0.8% to $4,716.20.

The dollar inched higher, making greenback-priced bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies, while benchmark 10-year ⁠U.S. Treasury yields rose to an over one-week high, raising the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

“Gold continues to take its cues from the oil market, with rising energy costs keeping the risk of near-term dollar strength and elevated inflation in focus,” said Ole Hansen, head of ​commodity strategy at ‌Saxo Bank.

Iran seized ⁠two ships in ⁠the Strait of Hormuz as it tightened its grip on the strategic waterway after U.S. President Donald Trump ​announced he was indefinitely calling off attacks, with no sign of ‌peace talks restarting.

Iranian officials did not say they ⁠had agreed to any extension of the truce, accusing Washington of violating it by maintaining a blockade on Iranian trade by sea.

Brent crude oil prices rose above $100 a barrel on the stalled peace talks and as both nations maintained their restrictions on the flow of trade through the strait.

Higher crude oil prices can add to inflationary pressures, increasing the likelihood that interest rates remain elevated. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, higher rates dampen bullion’s appeal as it offers no yield.

Meanwhile, a Reuters poll of economists ‌showed the U.S. Federal Reserve will likely wait at least six ⁠months before cutting interest rates this year as war-driven energy ​shocks reignite already-elevated inflation.

“The current consolidation appears more a pause driven by rate uncertainty than a structural shift, and we maintain the view that gold is likely to reach a fresh record high ​later this year ‌or in early 2027,” Hansen added.

Spot silver fell 3% to $75.34 per ⁠ounce, platinum lost 2.9% to $2,013.15, and palladium ​was down 3.3% at $1,494.26.

© ZAWYA

GLOBAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE MAGAZINE

Recent Posts

Inside the automotive supply chain: Empirical evidence from Italian business-to-business trade data

Europe’s automotive industry is undergoing a significant transformation. This column uses firm-to-firm data to map…

4 days ago

Workers’ age and AI adoption

Numerous studies have analysed the effects of AI on productivity, growth and employment. Few of…

4 days ago

Some questions that a Bank of England review should ask

The Bank of England is approaching the 30th anniversary of operational independence and a wide-ranging…

4 days ago

The price elasticity of US shale oil supply: Insights from a natural experiment

The 2026 Iran war provides a natural experiment that allows model-free estimation of the price…

4 days ago

A view to a kill…ing of productivity: The allocative cost of war in Ukraine

Estimates of the cost of Russia’s war on Ukraine are dominated by what the war…

4 days ago

Spilling secrets and shrinking chains: How weak laws narrow supply networks

Modern manufacturing often requires firms to share confidential information with outside suppliers, some of whom…

4 days ago