
Merging structural and reduced-form models for forecasting
Forecasting, especially in central banks, is evolving to incorporate a variety of models, following two main approaches: structural and

Forecasting, especially in central banks, is evolving to incorporate a variety of models, following two main approaches: structural and

An index of global stocks rose 1% on Tuesday while U.S. bond yields and the dollar hung back from

 Goldman Sachs has forecast the S&P 500 index would reach 6,500 by the end of 2025, joining peer Morgan Stanley,

Though public and private investment survived the energy and inflation shocks following the pandemic, signs indicate that corporate investment

Financial openness can constrain the monetary autonomy of central banks. This column uses a new dataset to study how

Global foreign direct investment flows are increasingly mirroring the world’s geopolitical divides. This column introduces a new index for

Decentralised finance lending platforms have experienced tremendous growth since 2020. This column uses transaction-level data to study the behaviour

The ECB concluded its last monetary policy strategy review and adopted a new strategy in 2021, just before the

Starting in mid-2021, energy prices soared to unprecedented heights. Initially driven by the global post-pandemic rebound, this was exacerbated

While the financial secrecy of offshore tax havens has historically created ample tax evasion opportunities for wealthy individuals, automatic

Forecasting, especially in central banks, is evolving to incorporate a variety of models, following two main approaches: structural and

An index of global stocks rose 1% on Tuesday while U.S. bond yields and the dollar hung back from

 Goldman Sachs has forecast the S&P 500 index would reach 6,500 by the end of 2025, joining peer Morgan Stanley,

Though public and private investment survived the energy and inflation shocks following the pandemic, signs indicate that corporate investment

Financial openness can constrain the monetary autonomy of central banks. This column uses a new dataset to study how

Global foreign direct investment flows are increasingly mirroring the world’s geopolitical divides. This column introduces a new index for

Decentralised finance lending platforms have experienced tremendous growth since 2020. This column uses transaction-level data to study the behaviour

The ECB concluded its last monetary policy strategy review and adopted a new strategy in 2021, just before the

Starting in mid-2021, energy prices soared to unprecedented heights. Initially driven by the global post-pandemic rebound, this was exacerbated

While the financial secrecy of offshore tax havens has historically created ample tax evasion opportunities for wealthy individuals, automatic




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