Moderate growth amid global trade uncertainty: The Commission’s Spring 2025 Forecast
President Trump’s sweeping “reciprocal tariffs” announced on 2 April sent shockwaves through the global economy. This column introduces the European Commission’s Spring Forecast, which depicts
Disentangling trade policy uncertainty and equity market performance
Despite headlines dominated by threats and implementations of US and retaliatory tariffs since President Trump’s inauguration, it was not until his “Liberation Day” announcement on
How the EU should plan for global trade transformation
The major turbulence being experienced by the world economy could lead to a global recession and the collapse of the norms and institutions that have
Radical novelties in critical technologies and spillovers: how do China, the US and the EU fare?
Critical technologies including artificial intelligence, semiconductors and quantum computing are attracting attention because of their indispensable nature and their role in national security strategies. We
How to manage the economic trade-offs of public procurement policies in developing economies
Government procurement—the process in which public entities buy goods and services from private companies—represents between 5% and 20% of a country’s GDP, depending on the
Beverage prices soften but risks are brewing
Coffee prices remain high despite April dip. Coffee softened slightly in April after hitting record nominal highs. Arabica reached $9/kg in February-March, while Robusta approached $6/kg.
Finding the sweet spot between bank rivalry and safety
Imagine your favorite open-air market. Stalls hustle for customers, prices fall, and shoppers win—until one fragile roof gives way and everyone scrambles. Banking is similar.
Living la vida loca? Remote investing in Latin America, 1869-1929
Foreign stock exchange listings have become increasingly popular during the last 80 years. This column examines companies that were governed and listed in London during
Expanding private insurance for long-term care to reduce public spending
As populations age, the demand for long-term care will increase dramatically. This column argues that markets for long-term care insurance in the US have failed
EU likely to propose to G7 lowering price cap on Russian oil to $50 per barrel
The EU will propose to G7 finance ministers this week to lower the current $60 per barrel price cap on Russian seaborne oil as part
