Uncertainty and change: Survey evidence on firms’ subjective beliefs

Uncertainty can affect firm decisions because it leads to more cautious behaviour and is associated with learning about viability of the business. Based on a
The rise and fall of paper money in Yuan China, 1260–1368

In early-13th century China, the Mongols introduced the silver standard, the first paper money in history to be backed by a precious metal. This column
Empowering adolescents to transform schools: Lessons from behavioural targeting

Though school-based interventions have shown significant success in improving life outcomes for children, interventions targeting adolescents tend to fail when they do not align with
The world’s largest humanitarian cash transfer programme reduces child labour and increases schooling among refugee children

Forced displacement often forces children out of school and into employment at a young age. This disruption in their human capital formation leads to poverty
Understanding the scope, definition, and impact of the WTO e-commerce moratorium

At the 13th WTO Ministerial Conference in Abu Dhabi, the WTO e-commerce moratorium was renewed once again, but not without difficulty. This column explores the
Software automation and teleworkers as complements and substitutes

The impact of artificial intelligence on office work and the impact of telework on offices are often examined separately. This column uses survey data from
Mapping the economic costs of war

The economic costs of armed conflict – in terms of lost income and reduced physical capital – are borne overwhelmingly by the countries in whose
Intel prepares for $100 billion spending spree across four US states

Intel is planning a $100-billion spending spree across four U.S. states to build and expand factories after securing $19.5 billion in federal grants and loans –
Micron set for record high after AI demand steers strong forecast, surprise profit

Micron Technology’s shares surged 15.7% in premarket trading on Thursday after the company posted a surprise profit and forecast current-quarter revenue above Wall Street estimates on soaring demand
Disasters and bank financing

Disasters are mostly unexpected, but during recent decades the world has witnessed a rising incidence of disasters of various types, including armed conflicts, infectious diseases,

