How is innovation competition exacerbating global overcapacity?

The world is moving into a period of entrenched manufacturing overcapacity, threatening deflation and stagnant growth. Over the past two decades, China has emerged as
Task-based returns to generative AI: Evidence from a central bank

How does generative AI affect real workplace productivity? This column reports results from an experiment at the National Bank of Slovakia, where staff were randomly
US-China high-tech friction and Japan’s response: Implications from a comparison of innovation processes

The competition being fought between the US and China in cutting-edge technology fields friction is also affecting basic research activities at universities and other public
Rethinking social protection sustainability: What people want (and don’t want)

Population ageing makes it harder for governments to finance programmes like public pensions and long-term care. But policy responses, such as tightening programme eligibility and
Customized strategies key to setting up MSMEs, start-ups for success

Developing countries invest about $1 billion annually to train millions of aspiring and existing entrepreneurs. While significant, this investment doesn’t fully address the shortage of
The state of globalisation: A new eBook

Three forces have always shaped globalisation – technology, policies, and geopolitics. What distinguishes the current moment is that all three are accelerating simultaneously but in
Export strength does not equal tech strength: Rethinking EU comparative advantage

Amid geopolitical shocks, the EU is revisiting its industrial strategy. However, traditional metrics often paint a misleading picture of Europe’s underlying strength. This column uses
How the 2018/19 US tariffs against China boosted exports and employment in Mexico

In 2018 and 2019, the US administration hiked tariffs on imports from China. This column shows that imports from Mexico partly filled the gap, leading
The Great Wall of Chinese goods: The effect of tariff-induced re-rerouting on euro area consumer prices

Tariffs affect both supply and demand, possibly with contrasting effects on prices. This column shows that renewed US-China tensions could redirect Chinese exports to the
Transatlantic clean investment monitor 4: electric vehicles

Electric vehicles (EVs) have grown from a niche technology to a mainstream industry in the space of a little over a decade. EV deployment is

