Yen gains ahead of BOJ decision in packed week for investors
A separate closely watched survey showed that big Japanese manufacturers’ business sentiment hit a four-year high in the three months to December. The yen strengthened
Changing tariff treatment and the exports of developing countries
Recent changes in the tariff policies of the US and China are likely to affect developing countries in complex ways. This column argues that pre-existing
Political power and profitable trades in the US Congress
The debate over whether US members of Congress should be allowed to trade individual stocks has become a mainstream policy concern. This column uses data
The role of wages in retaining effective teachers in the classroom
Concerns about declining student achievements have become central in education debates, with teacher quality drawing attention as a key driver. This column examines how wages
Wealth shocks tilt the balance toward self-insurance for long-term care
When older adults need paid long-term care, most rely on their own assets unless they hold private long-term care insurance or qualify for Medicaid. This
Brexit’s slow‑burn hit to the UK economy
The UK is once again debating why its economy has grown slowly since the mid‑2010s. This column examines the impact of the decision to leave
Trailing with a margin: Official macro forecasts in EU fiscal surveillance
Budgetary planning in the euro area involves a codified interaction between national governments and the European Commission where economic and fiscal forecasts play a crucial
Reforming international taxation: Balancing profit shifting and investment responses
The global minimum tax represents the most ambitious international effort in decades to curb profit shifting to tax havens. But how much profit shifting actually
Then and now: A look back and ahead at the US federal budget
There is now widespread concern that the US faces an unsustainable fiscal future under current policies. The rise in the debt-to-GDP ratio since 2001 can
Barclays sees no further ECB rate cuts before end-2026 after policy decision
The ECB kept interest rates steady at 2% for the third meeting in a row. Barclays revised its forecast for the European Central Bank’s rate
