Tariffs across the supply chain

Tariffs disrupt trade flows and influence prices, but their broader impact depends on how they are structured and the type of goods targeted. This column
How the EU should plan for global trade transformation

The major turbulence being experienced by the world economy could lead to a global recession and the collapse of the norms and institutions that have
The trade imbalance network and currency fluctuations

In recent years, concerns over global financial fragmentation have grown amid rising geopolitical tensions. This column integrates a network structure in a multi-country model with
When illusions of wealth shape the economy: Understanding pseudo-wealth, macroeconomic volatility, and social welfare

Pseudo-wealth is a perception of wealth that is not backed by real economic resources. When people have widely different beliefs, they create ‘wealth’ through betting.
The Fisherian debt (de)inflation channel and stock returns

The recent global rise in prices has renewed interest in the distributional effects of the Fisherian debt-inflation channel, and its impact on firms’ activities. This
Who supplies and demands safe assets – and why it matters

Safe assets are the building blocks of modern financial markets. This column examines the sectoral dynamics of safe assets across advanced economies since the 1980s.
The local effects of artificial intelligence labour investments: Evidence from the municipal bond market

The long-term effects of artificial intelligence are still unknown, as productivity benefits may be compromised by unintended costs. This column assesses the local effects of
Homeowners care about inflation, renters less so

Consumers have vastly different views about inflation – shaped by personal experience, financial literacy, and exposure to economic news. This column examines how consumers’ housing

