How the United States is eating Trump’s tariffs
Fed Chair Jerome Powell said tariffs accounted for perhaps 30-40 basis points of the latest core inflation reading of 2.9% but the effect should be
Gold breaks $4,100 to hit high on trade jitters, rate-cut optimism
Gold broke through $4,100 per ounce for the first time on Monday, hitting another record high on renewed U.S.-China trade tensions and expectations of U.S.
Communicating monetary policy by a committee: Echoes that move markets
Central banks rarely speak with one voice. At the Federal Reserve, for instance, each official brings a distinct perspective, and markets parse every speech for
Dollar dominance and the Trump administration
There is general agreement that a currency’s safe-haven status can be gauged by its response to changes in financial volatility. This column documents how, in
What corporate earnings calls reveal about the AI stock rally
The launch of ChatGPT in late 2022 marked a turning point in how firms and investors view generative artificial intelligence. This column measures the extent
How real-time data misled policymakers during the post-COVID recovery
Preliminary data releases can diverge significantly from subsequently revised figures, complicating economic policy decisions made in real time. This column shows how real-time GDP releases
Gold uptrend intact, but due for correction before topping $4,000 in 2026
Spot gold was trading around $3,680 per ounce on Tuesday after hitting a record $3,689.27 earlier in the session. Gold’s stellar rally to successive record
Dollar regains some ground, still heading for weekly drop
Sterling traded at $1.3545, slipping 0.2% after data showed the British economy stagnated in July. The dollar inched higher on Friday after falling the day
Gold hovers near record high ahead of US inflation data
ANZ Group raised its year-end gold price forecast on Wednesday to $3,800 per ounce and expects prices to peak near $4,000 by next June. Gold
The Federal Reserve, the new administration, and the outlook for the economy and monetary policy
The new US administration has made the Federal Reserve’s monetary policymaking more complicated both because of the elevated uncertainty regarding administration policies and because of
