Financial engineering is no substitute for interest rates: Lessons from Türkiye
The Turkish central bank cut interest rates over 2021-2023, on the politically driven view that higher rates cause inflation. This column analyses the policies used
Why Europe needs Eurobonds
The 2024 reform of the EU fiscal framework makes fiscal adjustment more country-specific and less procyclical. However, it does not eliminate two fundamental tail risks:
Why more information can make macroeconomic expectations less accurate: Global evidence from 47 countries
Households do not simply choose how much macroeconomic information to acquire; they choose among sources that differ in representativeness and credibility. Using a survey of
When the news you watch shapes the inflation you expect
Central banks lean on communication to anchor inflation expectations. But most households learn about the economy from the news rather than from policy statements, and
Rethinking the use of quantitative easing for macro stimulus
Quantitative easing has faced recent criticism for causing large central bank losses and contributing to the post-COVID inflation, raising the question of under what conditions
Precious metals retreat from record highs
Precious metal prices declined in 2026Q2 (q/q) after 14 consecutive months of gains through February, including a 24 percent increase in 2026Q1. By June, gold
When central banks over-deliver, markets listen differently
Financial markets pay close attention to monetary policy, and surprise policy decisions can strongly affect asset prices and the real economy. This column shows that
Independent central banks take more risk, not less
The fiscal dominance view holds that politically captured central banks are more likely to be pushed into taking risky positions, while independent ones resist. This
Gold falls on stronger dollar, oil amid renewed Middle East hostilities
Dollar, oil gain on fading hopes of US-Iran peace deal. Gold fell on Wednesday, weighed by a stronger dollar and rising oil prices as continuing
Not all foreign exchange reserves are created alike
The motives for the accumulation and management of foreign exchange reserves are a key topic in international economics. This column highlights an aspect of the
