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Tariffs, global imbalances, and the dollar

While the Trump administration has offered multiple justifications for imposing tariffs, none has been as prominently cited as the goal of reducing trade deficits. This

The unbearable lightness of promises

When reforms are judged by their plans rather than their impact, they risk drifting into the lightness of promises unmet. An “outcome reflex” mindset restores gravity—anchoring

Trump’s tariffs as fiscal folly

In 2025, the US government underwent a large fiscal switch, with Congress enacting large income tax cuts and the second Trump administration putting new tariffs