Geopolitics as a monetary shock: The ‘silent tightening’ in the European banking system

Geopolitical tensions have once again seized the centre stage of macroeconomic policy debates. From Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine to instability in the Middle East,
Trump’s mortgage-backed bond purchases not moving needle on housing costs

Experts say $200bln bond-buying effort unlikely to significantly lower housing costs. There’s scant evidence so far that U.S. President Donald Trump’s bid to make housing
Trump tariff shift calms European bond market

That has helped at least to put a floor under euro zone bond prices. Euro zone bonds steadied on Thursday with longer-dated bond yields dropping
Vision 2030 projects may drive corporate loans by Saudi banks to $75bln in 2026

Bank profitability will remain strong this year despite lower interest rates, says S&P. Saudi banks are expected to extend $65-$75 billion in new corporate loans
Europe’s emissions trading system is an ally, not an enemy, of industrial competitiveness

The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness. The
How the Fed makes decisions: Disagreement, beliefs, and the power of the Chair

Federal Open Market Committee statements typically sound unanimous, but the Committee’s internal debates rarely are. This column analyses historical meeting transcripts to show that policymakers
Femicides, anti-violence centres, and policy targeting

Local responses to gender-based violence, with femicide as its most extreme form, remain uneven across Europe. This column combines machine-learning forecasting with policy evaluation to
Central bank digital currency and monetary sovereignty

Calls for a digital euro increasingly invoke monetary sovereignty, often on the grounds that Europe must retain control over its payment systems. This column argues
An update on the great reallocation in US supply chain trade

The era of hyperglobalisation has given way to a more fractured trade policy landscape. This column uses detailed US import data over 2013-2025 to analyse
When broadband comes to banks: Credit supply, market structure, and information acquisition

Banks have long relied upon cutting-edge technologies to deliver products and improve efficiency, but there is limited evidence on the impact of fast internet on

