European bank shares extend losses on fear of tariff-induced recession
Shares in German lenders continued their losses for a third day as U.S. President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs ignited fears of an all-out trade war and a
Strengthening central bank financial resilience in a changing world
Aggressive rate hikes over the last few years aimed at containing inflation have led to significant valuation losses across many of the largest central banks.
Deep integration and trade: UK firms in the wake of Brexit
How does dismantling deep integration affect international trade? This column uses firm-level customs data to study the impact of Brexit on UK goods trade. The
What comes next for global supply chains might be complicated
The US-China trade war has led to growth in economic activity in some ‘winner’ countries, which have gained from relocated US-bound production and also increased
Artificial intelligence and asset pricing: The power of transformers
The fusion of artificial intelligence and finance is revolutionising asset pricing. This column explores how AI-driven asset pricing models, particularly those incorporating transformers, leverage cross-asset
Criminal charges and political selection: Evidence on electoral outcomes and policy failures from Brazil
The quality of political leadership is a central determinant of state capacity. This column studies the prevalence and impact of candidates with criminal backgrounds holding
Trump’s non-cooperative game
With President Trump’s announcement of sweeping tariffs on 2 April, he appears to be waging an economic war against the rest of the world. This
Further evolution in and of monetary policy frameworks: Moins ça change, moins c’est la même chose
The 2008 crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic presented monetary policy frameworks worldwide with significant challenges. This column reports the results of an updating of the
Geopolitical risks and their implications for consumer expectations and spending
Though geopolitical risks can dampen business sentiment – constraining firm investment and international trade – there is less evidence of how such tensions affect households.
US reciprocal tariffs: Upending the global trade policy landscape
The tariff measures announced by President Trump on 2 April 2025 represent a seismic shift in the global trading landscape. This column describes how, by
